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Elder-Ray Method
"Elder-Ray" is a technical analysis method developed in 1989 by Dr.
Alexander Elder. Dr. Elder, a medical doctor by training, chose the
name "Elder-Ray" as a parallel to "X-Ray", since the purpose of the
analysis is to look beneath the surface of the market. An
exponential moving average (EMA, 13-period) and two other technical
indicators, called Bull Power and Bear Power are used in the
analysis.
Bull Power is simply the difference between the high of each bar and
the EMA, while Bear Power is the difference between the low of each
bar and the EMA. Both indicators are usually drawn as oscillators
(histograms). Bears are strongest when Bear Power is most negative.
Bulls are strongest when Bull Power is most positive. The
Investor/RT implementation of Bear and Bull power allow you to
select other moving average types if you like and to alter the
averaging period as well. Elder uses 13-period exponential averages.
For a complete discussion of Elder-Ray, see Dr. Elder's text,
"Trading for a Living", pp 220-227.
To setup an Investor/RT chart for Elder Ray analysis, create a bar
chart of daily periodicity and add a 13-period exponential moving
average to the bar chart pane. Then add both Bull Power and Bear
Power technical indicators, each to a new pane, below the instrument
pane. Save the chart as "Elder-Ray Daily" for future reference.
Elder describes four conditions for the strongest buy signal:
- The trend is up, i.e. the EMA is sloping upward.
- Bear Power is negative but is rising.
- The latest peak in Bull Power is higher than the previous
peak.
- Bear Power is rising from a bullish divergence.
A bullish divergence here would be a period when price is
declining to a new low while the Bear Power makes a higher (less
negative, less bearish) bottom and begins rising.
Livshin Method
Technician Igor Livshin defined Bull Power as the average of the
following three values:
- The ability of bulls to raise the price from the opening price
to the highest price.
(HI - OP)
- The ability of bulls to raise the price from the lowest price
to the closing price.
(CL - LO)
- The ability of bulls to raise the price from the opening price
to the closing price.
(CL - OP if CL > OP, zero otherwise)
He goes a step further to define his "Balance of Market Power"
(BMP) to be the difference between the Bull Power and the Bear Power
(BULLP - BEARP).
The Investor/RT Bull Power indicator gives the user the ability
to optionally smooth these resulting raw Bull Power values. If
no smoothing is desired, specify a smoothing (MA) period of 1.
Gimelfarb Method
Technician Vadim Gimelfarb derived a method of computing Bull Power
which was based on determining a maximum movement achieved by
the bulls. Five prices are consider in the evaluation: Open
(OP), High (HI), Low (LO), Close (CL) and Previous Close (CL.1).
From Previous Close to Close, there are a potential of 4 movements
between prices, from CL.1, to OP, then to HI/LO, then to LO/HI, then
to CL. The key is to determine whether the HI or LO occurred
first. This is determined using the following rules:
- If OP > CL: we assume LO occurred first. (Since it's
closer to OP than it is to CL)
- If OP < CL: we assume HI occurred first. (Since it's
closer to OP than it is to CL)
- If OP = CL AND HI - CL > CL - LO: we assume the LO
occurred fist. (maximum price movement was gained by the
side that was more successful at the close)
- If OP = CL AND HI - CL < CL - LO: we assume the HI
occurred fist. (same logic as above)
- If OP = CL AND HI - CL = CL - LO AND CL < CL.1: we
assume the HI occurred fist. (maximum price movement was
gained by the side that was more successful at the close in
relation to previous day's closing price)
- If OP = CL AND HI - CL = CL - LO AND CL > CL.1: we
assume the LO occurred fist. (same logic as above)
- If OP = CL AND HI - CL = CL - LO AND CL = CL.1: Bull
and Bear Powers are equal at this point (no logical path, just use
HI - OP for value).
The Bull Power is then find the maximum "bullish" (upward) single
price movement. If the path from CL.1 to OP is upward, and the
path then continues upward from OP to HI, then the price movement
from CL.1 to HI is considered as one single price movement.
If, on the other hand, the path moves from CL.1 to OP to LO, then
two movements are considered, a bullish movement from CL.1 to OP
followed by a bearish movement from OP to LO.
The Investor/RT Bull Power indicator gives the user the ability
to optionally smooth these resulting raw Bull Power values. If
no smoothing is desired, specify a smoothing (MA) period of 1.
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